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Red58
152813.1
261234.1
578415.3
Blue61
52269.4
526316.6
377320.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572802040801001201405861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#17
34.10.8
24.625.4
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 14.0
3773
#30
20.11.4
15.717.0
Auto0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
5784
#37
15.30.8
17.618.3
Auto1.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5263
#32
16.61.4
11.312.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
1528
#34
13.10.8
12.413.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 3.7
5226
#40
9.41.4
6.78.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0