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Red78
24022.1
570812.2
526316.6
Blue114
481014.4
568828.8
549824.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3953010015020025030078114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
240
#22
22.11.8
14.516.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 6.7
5688
#12
28.83.1
16.419.5
Auto0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Second
5263
#32
16.61.8
13.515.3
Auto0.5
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 7.8
5498
#20
24.53.1
23.826.9
Auto0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
5708
#35
12.21.8
14.416.2
Auto0.6
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 2.2
4810
#33
14.43.1
12.115.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0