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Red81
578415.3
438149.4
24022.1
Blue81
377320.1
506619.1
561215.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785002040601001201401608181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.2
44.544.7
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
red by 29.3
3773
#30
20.11.3
19.720.9
Auto0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
240
#22
22.10.2
16.316.5
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 2.9
5066
#31
19.11.3
26.227.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
5784
#37
15.30.2
16.016.2
Auto1.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5612
#28
15.81.3
10.011.3
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0