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Red72
568828.8
571123.8
366828.2
Blue84
283228.4
377320.1
439518.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70632040801001207284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5688
#12
28.80.0
19.519.5
Auto0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
red by 0.4
2832
#16
28.40.9
27.128.0
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Second
3668
#29
28.20.0
35.135.1
Auto0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 8.1
3773
#30
20.10.9
20.921.8
Auto0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5711
#18
23.80.0
16.917.0
Auto1.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 5.8
4395
#24
18.00.9
18.519.3
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0