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Red90
213762.8
506619.1
501712.5
Blue10
570812.2
377320.1
481014.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104310501502009010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.3
60.059.7
Auto0.3
Teleop62.5
End0.0
red by 42.7
3773
#30
20.11.7
17.415.7
Auto0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
5066
#31
19.10.3
24.123.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 4.7
4810
#33
14.41.7
11.39.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
5017
#36
12.50.3
12.011.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 0.3
5708
#35
12.21.7
15.413.7
Auto0.6
Teleop11.6
End0.0