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Red128
283228.4
86243.1
152813.1
Blue123
21754.8
438149.4
570812.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73125050100150200250128123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#10
43.12.5
40.643.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.3
End0.0
blue by 11.8
217
#7
54.80.1
58.958.9
Auto0.6
Teleop54.2
End0.0
Second
2832
#16
28.42.5
29.532.0
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 21.0
49.40.1
47.047.1
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
Third
1528
#34
13.12.5
14.116.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 0.9
5708
#35
12.20.1
15.615.7
Auto0.6
Teleop11.6
End0.0