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Red78
261234.1
566019.2
148121.0
Blue23
354225.7
571123.8
481014.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69612040801001207823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#17
34.10.4
35.535.8
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 8.4
25.72.1
27.525.5
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
1481
#13
21.00.4
20.420.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5711
#18
23.82.1
19.517.5
Auto1.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
5660
#23
19.20.4
14.715.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 4.8
4810
#33
14.42.1
17.115.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0