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Red47
549824.5
57134.0
24022.1
Blue68
152813.1
354225.7
148121.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496201001502002503004768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5498
#20
24.50.3
25.625.3
Auto0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 1.2
25.70.3
26.927.2
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
240
#22
22.10.3
21.421.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 1.0
1481
#13
21.00.3
20.220.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
5713
#39
4.00.3
5.75.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.2
End0.0
blue by 9.1
1528
#34
13.10.3
15.015.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0