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Red70
501712.5
556715.0
21754.8
Blue158
213762.8
81517.4
568828.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718605010015020025070158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#7
54.80.0
52.852.8
Auto0.6
Teleop54.2
End0.0
blue by 8.0
62.83.6
59.763.3
Auto0.3
Teleop62.5
End0.0
Second
5567
#38
15.00.0
11.511.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 13.8
5688
#12
28.83.6
12.716.3
Auto0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Third
5017
#36
12.50.0
11.711.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 4.9
815
#26
17.43.6
14.418.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0