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Red61
45316.9
194111.8
571114.5
Blue37
523912.8
438011.2
317513.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19260501001502002503003506137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
453
#9
16.92.0
7.69.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 3.6
3175
#17
13.40.5
11.211.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Second
5711
#24
14.53.4
8.111.4
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 1.7
5239
#31
12.80.9
8.29.0
Auto0.3
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
1941
#15
11.82.0
4.96.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 0.6
4380
#27
11.20.9
6.97.8
Auto0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0