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Red139
118941.6
283445.1
438436.7
Blue30
50657.4
55552.1
260416.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061805015020013930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.12.5
29.732.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 28.4
2604
#20
16.70.1
15.815.7
Auto0.6
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Second
41.62.5
31.534.0
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 34.2
5065
#34
7.40.2
11.311.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0
Third
36.72.5
34.737.1
Auto1.0
Teleop35.7
End0.0
red by 34.6
5555
#37
2.10.2
5.25.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0