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Red110
170123.3
285121.5
309833.4
Blue18
523912.8
481512.9
52259.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629020408010012014011018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.42.7
22.325.0
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 20.4
4815
#28
12.90.0
7.37.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Second
23.32.7
13.416.1
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 10.5
5239
#31
12.80.0
9.09.1
Auto0.3
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
2851
#14
21.52.7
20.222.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 12.4
5225
#21
9.10.0
1.61.6
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0