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Red21
50687.2
547819.2
52147.8
Blue56
36329.2
170123.3
481011.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39380102030506070802156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5478
#19
19.20.9
21.320.4
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 4.1
23.30.8
18.118.9
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
5214
#35
7.81.3
10.99.6
Auto0.4
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 3.5
4810
#29
11.31.1
12.313.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Third
5068
#23
7.20.9
7.46.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 2.0
3632
#32
9.20.8
10.611.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0