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Red24
194111.8
438011.2
118941.6
Blue97
6823.9
57329.9
309833.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567301001502002503002497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.8
35.233.3
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 8.3
33.41.5
25.126.6
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
1941
#15
11.81.8
12.110.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 18.1
573
#4
29.91.5
29.230.7
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Third
4380
#27
11.22.5
13.511.1
Auto0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 12.7
68
#11
23.91.5
18.419.9
Auto1.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0