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Red44
55552.1
317513.4
283445.1
Blue58
36329.2
20118.5
496121.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6041020801001201404458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.8
40.739.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 23.1
4961
#12
21.90.9
16.717.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
3175
#17
13.40.8
14.713.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 5.1
201
#18
18.50.6
17.217.8
Auto0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
5555
#37
2.11.0
4.02.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0
blue by 7.2
3632
#32
9.20.6
11.312.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0