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Red110
309833.4
283445.1
481512.9
Blue63
6823.9
57329.9
52259.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8754010015020011063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.5
42.843.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 15.2
573
#4
29.90.0
29.329.3
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
33.40.5
31.231.7
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 9.5
68
#11
23.90.0
23.323.4
Auto1.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
4815
#28
12.90.5
10.711.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 3.8
5225
#21
9.10.0
8.58.5
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0