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Red98
46964.6
7064.3
400352.0
Blue208
205468.9
8564.1
233747.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17717310012014016020022024098208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#38
64.60.0
64.664.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop65.0
End0.0
blue by 4.3
2054
#20
68.90.0
69.269.2
Auto14.1
Teleop54.9
End0.0
Second
70
#4
64.30.0
64.364.3
Auto8.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 0.2
85
#16
64.10.0
64.464.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.7
End0.0
Third
4003
#44
52.00.0
52.052.0
Auto10.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 4.5
2337
#50
47.50.0
47.847.8
Auto2.9
Teleop44.6
End0.0