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Red208
6863.6
213770.1
49447.9
Blue219
6656.4
496767.5
150248.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176161100150200250208219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.5
69.670.1
Auto0.3
Teleop69.7
End0.0
red by 2.6
4967
#13
67.50.8
66.667.5
Auto10.4
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Second
68
#11
63.60.5
63.263.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop64.4
End0.0
red by 7.2
66
#25
56.40.8
55.656.4
Auto2.2
Teleop54.2
End0.0
Third
494
#58
47.90.5
47.447.9
Auto11.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 0.2
1502
#42
48.00.8
47.248.0
Auto0.4
Teleop47.7
End0.0