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Red175
276754.2
118966.3
354753.3
Blue152
361848.7
481529.8
6863.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16510550150200250175152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#14
66.30.7
60.160.8
Auto1.1
Teleop65.2
End0.0
red by 2.7
68
#11
63.62.0
56.858.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop64.4
End0.0
Second
2767
#21
54.20.7
54.955.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop54.8
End0.0
red by 5.5
3618
#23
48.72.0
36.938.9
Auto2.1
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
3547
#26
53.30.7
46.146.8
Auto2.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 23.4
4815
#78
29.82.0
24.726.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop30.2
End0.0