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Red62
50351.4
571226.2
85744.1
Blue74
366838.1
191856.4
365639.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711460801001401601806274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#46
51.42.9
49.646.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.7
End0.0
blue by 5.0
1918
#45
56.41.7
52.450.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
Second
857
#67
44.12.9
33.830.9
Auto1.1
Teleop43.0
End0.0
red by 4.1
3656
#43
39.91.7
37.035.3
Auto0.2
Teleop39.8
End0.0
Third
5712
#94
26.22.9
35.833.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 11.8
3668
#80
38.11.7
30.729.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.2
End0.0