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Red131
207536.7
354753.3
551728.1
Blue160
571226.2
295957.1
546038.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101115050150200250300350131160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3547
#26
53.31.2
46.848.0
Auto2.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
blue by 3.8
2959
#22
57.12.1
52.454.6
Auto1.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Second
2075
#86
36.71.2
34.435.6
Auto4.2
Teleop32.5
End0.0
blue by 1.6
5460
#59
38.32.1
31.934.0
Auto0.2
Teleop38.1
End0.0
Third
5517
#100
28.11.2
26.127.3
Auto1.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 1.9
5712
#94
26.22.1
33.035.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0