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Red115
260423.3
560340.0
353946.4
Blue116
309849.6
547826.5
521637.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11086050100150200115116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#39
46.40.2
47.347.6
Auto1.2
Teleop45.2
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3098
#31
49.61.2
39.240.3
Auto5.7
Teleop44.0
End0.0
Second
5603
#57
40.00.2
42.742.9
Auto1.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 2.8
5216
#66
37.21.2
30.631.8
Auto0.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Third
2604
#91
23.30.2
20.120.3
Auto-1.2
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 3.2
5478
#88
26.51.2
23.224.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0