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Red116
551728.1
150643.0
505344.6
Blue158
86250.0
261946.5
368849.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99128050150200250300116158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#51
44.60.4
41.942.3
Auto-1.7
Teleop46.3
End0.0
blue by 5.4
862
#53
50.01.5
44.045.5
Auto-1.5
Teleop51.5
End0.0
Second
1506
#36
43.00.4
38.038.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop43.4
End0.0
blue by 6.3
3688
#47
49.31.5
43.945.4
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
Third
5517
#100
28.10.4
27.327.7
Auto1.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 18.4
2619
#68
46.51.5
40.041.5
Auto1.3
Teleop45.1
End0.0