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Red116
511438.8
560340.0
8564.1
Blue180
247433.5
361848.7
3380.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391530100200300400116180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#16
64.11.5
62.160.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.7
End0.0
blue by 16.5
33
#5
80.61.5
78.980.4
Auto7.3
Teleop73.3
End0.0
Second
5603
#57
40.01.5
42.941.4
Auto1.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
blue by 8.7
3618
#23
48.71.5
45.146.6
Auto2.1
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
5114
#87
38.81.5
41.740.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 5.3
2474
#97
33.51.5
32.433.9
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0