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Red225
54883.8
118966.3
526041.8
Blue110
14142.7
515539.6
368849.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18210950150200250225110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#3
83.82.4
73.075.4
Auto1.5
Teleop82.3
End0.0
red by 34.5
3688
#47
49.30.7
45.444.7
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
Second
1189
#14
66.32.4
60.162.5
Auto1.1
Teleop65.2
End0.0
red by 23.7
141
#35
42.70.7
44.744.0
Auto0.9
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Third
5260
#34
41.82.4
44.146.5
Auto0.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 2.2
5155
#83
39.60.7
34.633.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0