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Red62
233747.5
70329.9
550936.6
Blue64
505344.6
506939.4
547826.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12096501502006264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#50
47.52.9
48.645.6
Auto2.9
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 3.0
5053
#51
44.62.0
42.340.3
Auto-1.7
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Second
5509
#71
36.62.9
41.138.2
Auto0.4
Teleop36.2
End0.0
blue by 2.9
5069
#89
39.42.0
36.934.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Third
703
#92
29.92.9
31.028.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 3.4
5478
#88
26.52.0
24.422.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0