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Red149
22663.6
569230.6
132238.1
Blue126
387538.4
550543.1
171839.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116106406080100140160149126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#8
63.61.5
55.356.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop63.9
End0.0
red by 20.5
5505
#63
43.10.7
42.443.1
Auto0.9
Teleop42.2
End0.0
Second
1322
#64
38.11.5
34.836.3
Auto1.9
Teleop36.2
End0.0
blue by 1.0
1718
#85
39.20.7
35.736.4
Auto2.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Third
5692
#82
30.61.5
28.329.8
Auto0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 7.8
3875
#75
38.40.7
33.434.1
Auto0.4
Teleop38.0
End0.0