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Red204
49447.9
360455.8
295957.1
Blue144
260423.3
481529.8
8564.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1629350200250204144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#22
57.12.4
56.058.4
Auto1.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0
blue by 7.0
85
#16
64.12.1
60.562.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.7
End0.0
Second
3604
#32
55.82.4
56.058.4
Auto1.2
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 26.0
4815
#78
29.82.1
24.726.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
494
#58
47.92.4
44.947.3
Auto11.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 24.6
2604
#91
23.32.1
22.124.2
Auto-1.2
Teleop24.5
End0.0