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Red169
70329.9
361848.7
171145.9
Blue152
368849.3
438146.6
521637.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106122050150200250300350400169152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#23
48.72.8
46.649.5
Auto2.1
Teleop46.6
End0.0
blue by 0.6
3688
#47
49.31.4
44.746.0
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
Second
1711
#41
45.92.8
37.640.5
Auto1.4
Teleop44.5
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4381
#81
46.61.4
46.547.9
Auto1.2
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Third
703
#92
29.92.8
28.130.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 7.3
5216
#66
37.21.4
33.034.4
Auto0.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0