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Red202
3380.6
132238.1
436258.6
Blue138
551728.1
191856.4
440531.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18386050150200250300202138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
80.61.4
80.481.8
Auto7.3
Teleop73.3
End0.0
red by 24.2
1918
#45
56.41.7
53.755.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
Second
4362
#18
58.61.4
57.558.9
Auto0.7
Teleop57.9
End0.0
red by 27.6
4405
#76
31.01.7
26.127.7
Auto2.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
1322
#64
38.11.4
36.337.7
Auto1.9
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 10.0
5517
#100
28.11.7
25.226.8
Auto1.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0