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Red142
14142.7
6863.6
171839.2
Blue66
421633.9
357028.1
283450.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441095020014266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#11
63.60.1
63.763.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop64.4
End0.0
red by 13.3
2834
#40
50.32.3
52.350.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.3
End0.0
Second
141
#35
42.70.1
44.043.8
Auto0.9
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 8.8
4216
#77
33.92.3
38.836.5
Auto0.3
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
1718
#85
39.20.1
36.436.3
Auto2.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
red by 11.1
3570
#101
28.12.3
27.525.1
Auto1.3
Teleop26.7
End0.0