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Red131
12337.8
171839.2
547826.5
Blue164
57358.9
171145.9
571034.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87122050150200250300131164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#85
39.21.7
36.338.0
Auto2.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 19.7
573
#6
58.92.1
50.953.1
Auto2.0
Teleop56.9
End0.0
Second
123
#52
37.81.7
33.535.2
Auto1.3
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 8.1
1711
#41
45.92.1
40.542.6
Auto1.4
Teleop44.5
End0.0
Third
5478
#88
26.51.7
26.328.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 8.1
5710
#79
34.62.1
29.932.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.9
End0.0