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Red174
118966.3
387538.4
506939.4
Blue192
360254.6
413037.9
2754.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13112380100140160180174192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#14
66.32.3
62.564.8
Auto1.1
Teleop65.2
End0.0
red by 11.7
3602
#17
54.63.2
48.651.8
Auto1.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
Second
5069
#89
39.42.3
36.939.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.6
End0.0
blue by 14.8
27
#55
54.23.2
44.848.0
Auto1.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
Third
3875
#75
38.42.3
34.937.1
Auto0.4
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 0.5
4130
#72
37.93.2
35.038.2
Auto0.4
Teleop37.5
End0.0