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Red159
439146.6
504858.3
353946.4
Blue83
22663.6
438146.6
511438.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11613905010020025030015983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#10
58.31.7
33.435.2
Auto0.6
Teleop57.7
End0.0
blue by 5.3
226
#8
63.62.9
52.149.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop63.9
End0.0
Second
4391
#54
46.61.7
47.749.5
Auto0.2
Teleop46.4
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4381
#81
46.62.9
51.248.3
Auto1.2
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Third
3539
#39
46.41.7
42.944.6
Auto1.2
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 7.6
5114
#87
38.82.9
37.134.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0