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Red212
24545.9
31478.2
7064.3
Blue136
511438.8
6863.6
553429.1
92%Model gave it8%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18811550100150250300212136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#12
78.21.5
78.079.4
Auto0.6
Teleop77.6
End0.0
red by 14.5
68
#11
63.60.6
63.664.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop64.4
End0.0
Second
70
#4
64.31.5
60.962.4
Auto8.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 25.5
5114
#87
38.80.6
39.039.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Third
245
#61
45.91.5
44.045.5
Auto1.0
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 16.9
5534
#93
29.10.6
27.928.5
Auto0.4
Teleop28.7
End0.0