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Red142
362049.9
361848.7
506939.4
Blue232
57358.9
50351.4
54883.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123185050100150250300350142232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#24
49.90.2
49.649.9
Auto0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
blue by 33.9
548
#3
83.82.5
80.082.5
Auto1.5
Teleop82.3
End0.0
Second
3618
#23
48.70.2
48.548.7
Auto2.1
Teleop46.6
End0.0
blue by 10.2
573
#6
58.92.5
53.155.6
Auto2.0
Teleop56.9
End0.0
Third
5069
#89
39.40.2
39.239.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.6
End0.0
blue by 12.0
503
#46
51.42.5
48.951.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.7
End0.0