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Red117
260423.3
31478.2
207536.7
Blue118
14142.7
276754.2
345253.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134153050100200250300350117118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#12
78.21.2
79.478.2
Auto0.6
Teleop77.6
End0.0
red by 23.9
2767
#21
54.21.9
56.154.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop54.8
End0.0
Second
2075
#86
36.71.2
37.936.7
Auto4.2
Teleop32.5
End0.0
blue by 16.4
3452
#33
53.11.9
55.053.1
Auto0.6
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Third
2604
#91
23.31.2
24.523.3
Auto-1.2
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 19.4
141
#35
42.71.9
44.542.7
Auto0.9
Teleop41.7
End0.0