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Red181
22663.6
118966.3
438445.4
Blue182
353826.7
360455.8
436258.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14910550200181182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#14
66.31.7
59.961.6
Auto1.1
Teleop65.2
End0.0
red by 7.7
4362
#18
58.63.3
41.144.4
Auto0.7
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Second
226
#8
63.61.7
50.452.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop63.9
End0.0
red by 7.8
3604
#32
55.83.3
46.349.6
Auto1.2
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Third
4384
#28
45.41.7
36.738.4
Auto1.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
red by 18.7
3538
#96
26.73.3
28.031.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0