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Red196
102397.2
353826.7
362049.9
Blue130
14142.7
550936.6
516733.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1668150100150200250196130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.21.9
88.990.8
Auto11.3
Teleop85.9
End0.0
red by 54.5
141
#35
42.71.6
34.436.0
Auto0.9
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
3620
#24
49.91.9
38.140.0
Auto0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
red by 13.3
5509
#71
36.61.6
31.633.3
Auto0.4
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Third
3538
#96
26.71.9
31.333.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 6.4
5167
#90
33.11.6
31.433.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0