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Red136
550936.6
146.6
24545.9
Blue111
496141.4
481529.8
413037.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12710150150200136111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#30
46.60.4
46.246.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop47.3
End0.0
red by 5.2
4961
#49
41.40.1
41.341.4
Auto0.1
Teleop41.3
End0.0
Second
245
#61
45.90.4
45.545.9
Auto1.0
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 8.0
4130
#72
37.90.1
38.238.3
Auto0.4
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Third
5509
#71
36.60.4
36.236.6
Auto0.4
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 6.7
4815
#78
29.80.1
29.829.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop30.2
End0.0