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Red202
567528.2
400352.0
413037.9
Blue130
521637.2
213770.1
354753.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82135050100150200250202130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#44
52.05.4
45.350.7
Auto10.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
blue by 18.0
70.10.1
63.863.7
Auto0.3
Teleop69.7
End0.0
Second
4130
#72
37.95.4
27.733.2
Auto0.4
Teleop37.5
End0.0
blue by 15.4
3547
#26
53.30.1
42.442.4
Auto2.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Third
5675
#74
28.25.4
20.325.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 9.0
5216
#66
37.20.1
25.425.3
Auto0.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0