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Red94
440531.0
550543.1
571226.2
Blue188
28050.2
361848.7
496141.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810505015020094188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#63
43.10.5
34.234.7
Auto0.9
Teleop42.2
End0.0
blue by 7.1
280
#56
50.24.2
43.647.8
Auto0.8
Teleop49.5
End0.0
Second
4405
#76
31.00.5
18.819.2
Auto2.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 17.7
3618
#23
48.74.2
30.134.3
Auto2.1
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
5712
#94
26.20.5
31.832.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 15.2
4961
#49
41.44.2
30.434.6
Auto0.1
Teleop41.3
End0.0