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Red251
10763.9
57358.9
233747.5
Blue83
515539.6
551728.1
438445.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137935015020025025183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#15
63.95.8
56.862.6
Auto9.5
Teleop54.4
End0.0
red by 18.5
4384
#28
45.40.7
38.437.7
Auto1.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Second
573
#6
58.95.8
32.938.7
Auto2.0
Teleop56.9
End0.0
red by 19.3
5155
#83
39.60.7
35.134.4
Auto-1.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Third
2337
#50
47.55.8
45.551.3
Auto2.9
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 19.4
5517
#100
28.10.7
29.528.8
Auto1.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0