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Red99
515539.6
553429.1
360455.8
Blue155
571226.2
309849.6
102397.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10116105020025030099155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#32
55.80.5
52.952.4
Auto1.2
Teleop54.6
End0.0
blue by 41.4
97.20.1
90.890.7
Auto11.3
Teleop85.9
End0.0
Second
5155
#83
39.60.5
34.434.0
Auto-1.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0
blue by 10.0
3098
#31
49.60.1
34.634.4
Auto5.7
Teleop44.0
End0.0
Third
5534
#93
29.10.5
27.026.6
Auto0.4
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 2.8
5712
#94
26.20.1
32.232.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0