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Red180
550543.1
8564.1
413037.9
Blue150
21757.1
12337.8
205468.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111153050200250180150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#16
64.12.9
53.856.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.7
End0.0
blue by 4.8
2054
#20
68.90.1
67.567.4
Auto14.1
Teleop54.9
End0.0
Second
5505
#63
43.12.9
34.737.6
Auto0.9
Teleop42.2
End0.0
blue by 14.0
217
#27
57.10.1
56.656.5
Auto0.1
Teleop57.0
End0.0
Third
4130
#72
37.92.9
33.236.1
Auto0.4
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 0.1
123
#52
37.80.1
28.128.0
Auto1.3
Teleop36.5
End0.0