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Red98
549819.0
261946.5
31478.2
Blue139
28050.2
436258.6
400352.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421418010012016018020022098139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#12
78.22.4
78.576.1
Auto0.6
Teleop77.6
End0.0
red by 19.6
4362
#18
58.60.4
48.748.3
Auto0.7
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Second
2619
#68
46.52.4
42.440.0
Auto1.3
Teleop45.1
End0.0
blue by 5.5
4003
#44
52.00.4
50.750.3
Auto10.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Third
5498
#102
19.02.4
24.622.3
Auto0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 31.2
280
#56
50.20.4
47.847.4
Auto0.8
Teleop49.5
End0.0