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Red140
8564.1
85744.1
400352.0
Blue155
438445.4
6766.4
505344.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14113880100120160180200140155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#16
64.10.2
56.756.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
67
#37
66.40.5
71.471.9
Auto6.8
Teleop59.6
End0.0
Second
4003
#44
52.00.2
50.350.1
Auto10.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 6.6
4384
#28
45.40.5
39.139.5
Auto1.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Third
857
#67
44.10.2
36.135.9
Auto1.1
Teleop43.0
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5053
#51
44.60.5
35.235.7
Auto-1.7
Teleop46.3
End0.0