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Red199
6656.4
499426.1
362049.9
Blue67
387538.4
86250.0
283450.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10512705015020025030035019967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#25
56.44.3
47.852.2
Auto2.2
Teleop54.2
End0.0
red by 6.1
2834
#40
50.33.1
48.245.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.3
End0.0
Second
3620
#24
49.94.3
41.746.1
Auto0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
blue by 0.1
862
#53
50.03.1
48.044.9
Auto-1.5
Teleop51.5
End0.0
Third
4994
#98
26.14.3
22.727.0
Auto0.7
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 12.2
3875
#75
38.43.1
32.129.0
Auto0.4
Teleop38.0
End0.0