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Red180
6642.1
205468.9
571230.0
Blue108
439226.8
507226.9
132227.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14065050100200250180108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.90.8
66.367.1
Auto13.6
Teleop55.3
End0.0
red by 41.9
1322
#23
27.00.5
26.426.8
Auto3.8
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
66
#4
42.10.8
39.540.3
Auto1.0
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 15.2
5072
#12
26.90.5
26.326.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
5712
#16
30.00.8
27.428.2
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
4392
#13
26.80.5
26.226.7
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0