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Red170
205468.9
7449.3
521327.8
Blue98
571230.0
439148.2
498317.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10957015020017098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.93.3
51.254.5
Auto13.6
Teleop55.3
End0.0
red by 20.7
48.21.5
28.129.7
Auto1.1
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Second
74
#3
49.33.3
33.436.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
red by 19.3
5712
#16
30.01.5
20.421.9
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
27.83.3
20.223.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 9.9
4983
#34
17.91.5
18.920.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0